Análisis Nacional vs Sporting Cristal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2002 |
PAY
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 2
VEL
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 1
MWA
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 0
SPC
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 0
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2002 |
SPC
3 - 4
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 may. 2001 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2001 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |