Análisis Nacional SP vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ago. 2018 |
ATI
2 - 3
NAC
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 ago. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUD
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 ago. 2018 |
TAB
2 - 3
NAC
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
ITU
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
TAB
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 0
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ITU
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |