Análisis Nacional SP vs XV de Novembro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
26%
Probabilidad gana
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.67
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+67%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
ITA
35%
25%
41%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2009 |
INT
2 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
BAN
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
XVD
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
ECN
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
ECN
1 - 0
BAN
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
ECN
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 1
ECN
34%
24%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2009 |
ECN
2 - 0
FEL
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |