Análisis Nacional vs Famalicão
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1991 |
VST
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 1
FAR
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1990 |
UNM
1 - 0
NAC
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 0
EST
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1990 |
BEL
2 - 3
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1991 |
FAM
1 - 0
UNM
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1991 |
EST
1 - 1
FAM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1990 |
BEL
0 - 0
FAM
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1990 |
FAM
0 - 3
BOA
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1990 |
SAL
3 - 1
FAM
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |