Análisis Nacional vs Porto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
22.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53%
Probabilidad gana
1.64
Goles esperados
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
GFC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOA
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2004 |
LYO
2 - 2
FCP
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2004 |
GFC
2 - 0
FCP
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 0
LYO
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |