Análisis Nacional vs Paços de Ferreira
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
FAT
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
VST
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2005 |
BOA
0 - 3
NAC
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 2006 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2005 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 2005 |
BEL
2 - 0
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2005 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 2
PAÇ
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |