Análisis Nacional vs Sporting Braga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
29.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.05
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 dic. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
VST
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2011 |
SCP
1 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 0
NAC
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 2011 |
OLH
3 - 4
SPB
21%
27%
52%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 1
SPB
35%
26%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2011 |
SPB
5 - 2
PAÇ
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 0
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 2
SPB
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |