Taça de Portugal . Semifinal
Global 2-3
Análisis Nacional vs Sporting CP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
24%
Probabilidad gana
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
52.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
VST
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2015 |
SPB
3 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 3
NAC
28%
27%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
BEL
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2015 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2015 |
SCP
0 - 0
WOL
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2015 |
SCP
2 - 0
GFC
72%
19%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 0
SCP
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
15%
21%
63%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |