Fase Previa Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 5-4
Análisis Nacional vs Zenit
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
32.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.23
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.44
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
SCP
3 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAÇ
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 2009 |
PER
2 - 4
ZEN
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2009 |
ZEN
0 - 2
TOM
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 ago. 2009 |
ZEN
2 - 1
NIZ
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2009 |
SAT
2 - 2
ZEN
24%
26%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2009 |
ZEN
0 - 0
FCR
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |