Análisis Napoli vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.6
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 2
NAP
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
NAP
26%
26%
47%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
71%
19%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
ROM
5 - 1
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
CES
3 - 1
NOV
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
UDI
4 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |