Análisis Napoli vs Lucchese Libertas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1951 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAD
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 4
NAP
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1951 |
UDI
1 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1951 |
PAD
2 - 0
NAP
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 1951 |
NAP
2 - 1
UDI
57%
21%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1951 |
ASL
4 - 2
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1951 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1951 |
ASL
2 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1951 |
ASL
5 - 0
COM
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 jun. 1951 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |