Análisis Napoli vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 1
NAP
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
NAP
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 0
ABN
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
NAP
2 - 0
CES
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 2
NAP
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 2
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
VIC
2 - 0
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 may. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |