Análisis Narcea vs Astur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1999 |
UNI
3 - 0
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1999 |
NAR
1 - 1
LLA
29%
26%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1999 |
UPL
2 - 1
NAR
76%
17%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1999 |
NAR
0 - 0
AND
58%
24%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1999 |
RTI
1 - 1
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1999 |
AST
2 - 1
PIL
41%
28%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1999 |
LEA
2 - 2
AST
83%
13%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 1999 |
AST
2 - 2
NAV
33%
27%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1999 |
NAI
1 - 1
AST
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1999 |
UNI
1 - 0
AST
75%
16%
8%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |