Análisis Narcea vs Astur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.11
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2011 |
COV
5 - 0
NAR
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 2
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
TIN
2 - 0
NAR
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAR
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
LEN
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2011 |
AST
0 - 2
PIL
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
AST
0 - 3
COV
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
AST
74%
15%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
TIN
5 - 1
AST
50%
23%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 ene. 2011 |
AST
1 - 1
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |