Análisis Narcea vs Unión Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+43%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ago. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
NAR
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 1
MOS
32%
29%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -4 |
| 11 may. 2003 |
NAI
1 - 1
NAR
75%
17%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 1
CAU
12%
26%
62%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 may. 2003 |
UNI
6 - 0
NAR
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 2008 |
COM
1 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |