Análisis Narcea vs Unión Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2010 |
SIE
2 - 2
NAR
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2010 |
NAR
2 - 0
MOS
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 2
DPT
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
TAP
2 - 0
NAR
27%
24%
48%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
TIN
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2010 |
COM
1 - 2
DPT
48%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2010 |
TAP
0 - 1
COM
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
COM
1 - 2
TIN
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 1
COM
35%
25%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
COM
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |