Análisis Narón BP vs Somozas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-55%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Narón BP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 2009 |
RVI
1 - 2
NAR
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 1
LAL
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
NEG
1 - 1
NAR
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
NAR
3 - 1
ARO
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2009 |
ALO
1 - 2
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ago. 2009 |
LAL
0 - 0
SOM
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
SOM
0 - 1
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
COX
0 - 2
SOM
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
SOM
1 - 0
BOU
39%
26%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 1
SOM
31%
26%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |