Análisis Náutico vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2005 |
MAR
4 - 3
NAU
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 4
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2005 |
POR
4 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2005 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -3 |