Análisis Náutico vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+32%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2006 |
REM
0 - 0
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
49%
24%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 may. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 3
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAU
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 2
PAY
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2006 |
GAM
1 - 0
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 may. 2006 |
POR
4 - 0
ARN
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2006 |
COT
3 - 0
POR
67%
21%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |