Análisis Náutico vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAU
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2004 |
NAU
4 - 1
BAH
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2004 |
NAU
0 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
NAU
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2004 |
AVA
0 - 0
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
AVA
47%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
AVA
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
NAU
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |