Análisis Náutico vs Ferroviário
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
-27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 1982 |
NAU
1 - 4
SAO
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1982 |
NAU
3 - 4
FLA
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1982 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 1982 |
FER
1 - 2
NAU
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1981 |
PPE
2 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 1982 |
FLA
3 - 0
FER
93%
6%
2%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1982 |
SAO
4 - 0
FER
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 1982 |
FER
0 - 2
TRE
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 1982 |
FER
1 - 2
NAU
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 1981 |
NAU
3 - 0
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |