Análisis Náutico vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 3
GRE
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1976 |
ATM
2 - 0
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 1976 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 oct. 1976 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
52%
27%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1976 |
NAU
4 - 0
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1976 |
FLU
3 - 0
VAS
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1976 |
FLU
4 - 2
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 0
FLA
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRB
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1976 |
GRE
1 - 2
FLU
52%
28%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |