Análisis Náutico vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 1989 |
SCI
0 - 1
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1989 |
NAU
3 - 2
ATM
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 oct. 1989 |
FLA
2 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 oct. 1989 |
NAU
4 - 0
VIT
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 1989 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 1989 |
FLU
0 - 1
PAL
44%
30%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1989 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 1989 |
GOI
2 - 0
FLU
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1989 |
FLU
1 - 1
CRZ
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1989 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
51%
28%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |