Serie A Betano Jor. 4

Análisis Náutico vs Fluminense

Náutico Fluminense
78 ELO 83
9.1% Tilt 6.4%
1385º Ranking ELO general 138º
52º Ranking ELO país 13º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
37.7%
Náutico
25.6%
Empate
36.7%
Fluminense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Náutico
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Fluminense
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Náutico
+18%
+5%
Fluminense

Progresión del ELO

Náutico
Fluminense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 may. 2009
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 3
Náutico
NAU
56%
23%
21%
77 80 3 0
17 may. 2009
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
27%
25%
49%
76 87 11 +1
10 may. 2009
GOI
Goiás EC
3 - 3
Náutico
NAU
66%
20%
14%
76 82 6 0
07 may. 2009
SCI
Internacional
2 - 0
Náutico
NAU
64%
22%
14%
76 87 11 0
30 abr. 2009
NAU
Náutico
0 - 3
Internacional
SCI
31%
25%
44%
76 87 11 0

Partidos

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 may. 2009
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 4
Santos FC
SAN
48%
26%
26%
84 84 0 0
21 may. 2009
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 2
Corinthians
COR
44%
26%
29%
84 85 1 0
17 may. 2009
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
0 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
20%
24%
56%
84 65 19 0
14 may. 2009
COR
Corinthians
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
47%
26%
27%
84 85 1 0
10 may. 2009
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
36%
27%
37%
84 88 4 0