Análisis Náutico vs Ituano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ago. 2004 |
ANA
1 - 1
NAU
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 1
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 jul. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 2004 |
NAU
1 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ago. 2004 |
ITU
3 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 3
ITU
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 jul. 2004 |
ITU
3 - 1
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2004 |
AMF
0 - 1
ITU
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 jul. 2004 |
ITU
5 - 0
AME
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |