Análisis Náutico vs Ituano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 1
NAU
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 0
GAM
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 nov. 2006 |
NAU
5 - 1
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 2006 |
CRB
3 - 4
ITU
40%
26%
33%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2006 |
ITU
1 - 1
SPO
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITU
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2006 |
ITU
0 - 0
AVA
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
ITU
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |