Análisis Náutico vs Parnahyba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.06
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.7%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAU
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
VCR
2 - 1
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 1
NAU
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2007 |
NAU
3 - 2
BEL
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
Partidos
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAU
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 dic. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 1
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |