Análisis Náutico vs Petrolina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.06
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.3%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.52
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
-37%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 2005 |
COT
3 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 0
COT
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAU
7%
15%
79%
|
66 | 11 | 55 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
Partidos
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 2005 |
PET
0 - 1
ITA
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
SER
1 - 2
PET
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
ACA
4 - 1
PET
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2005 |
PET
0 - 4
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
YPI
1 - 0
PET
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |