Análisis Náutico vs CA Porto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.92
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.8%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 4
NAU
12%
19%
69%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2006 |
YPI
1 - 1
NAU
19%
21%
59%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 1
EST
86%
10%
5%
|
63 | 21 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
17%
21%
63%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
Partidos
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
SAL
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
SER
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 2006 |
YPI
1 - 0
POR
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
SPO
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
EST
72%
16%
13%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |