Análisis Náutico vs Treze
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.09
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
-26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 1982 |
FLA
1 - 1
NAU
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1982 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1982 |
NAU
2 - 3
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1982 |
NAU
1 - 4
SAO
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 1982 |
NAU
3 - 4
FLA
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 1982 |
TRE
2 - 0
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1982 |
TRE
1 - 3
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1982 |
TRE
0 - 3
SAO
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 1982 |
FLA
5 - 0
TRE
89%
7%
3%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1982 |
FER
0 - 2
TRE
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |