Análisis Náutico vs Vasco da Gama
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 1976 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
52%
27%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1976 |
NAU
4 - 0
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
NAU
34%
29%
38%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 0
VOL
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1976 |
NAU
2 - 1
ABC
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 1976 |
VAS
1 - 0
CRB
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1976 |
VAS
1 - 0
MIX
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1976 |
AMF
2 - 3
VAS
38%
30%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1976 |
VAS
3 - 1
AME
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1976 |
VAS
2 - 2
GOI
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |