Análisis Náutico vs XV de Piracicaba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1979 |
FLA
2 - 0
NAU
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1979 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAU
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 1979 |
NAU
1 - 0
MOT
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1979 |
RIV
3 - 1
NAU
19%
27%
54%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1979 |
NAU
2 - 3
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1979 |
XVD
3 - 0
GRE
21%
26%
54%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1979 |
FLA
3 - 0
XVD
83%
12%
6%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1978 |
AME
3 - 1
XVD
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +3 |
| 13 jun. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 1
XVD
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1978 |
XVD
0 - 1
BAN
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |