Análisis CD Naval vs Cayón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAV
50%
28%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 1978 |
NAV
1 - 1
LEN
62%
24%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 1978 |
CAC
3 - 2
NAV
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 1978 |
NAV
0 - 0
GIN
57%
27%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAV
59%
25%
16%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 1978 |
CAY
1 - 1
ARO
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 1978 |
DEP
2 - 2
CAY
76%
16%
9%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 1978 |
CAY
0 - 0
RAC
45%
27%
29%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 1978 |
CAM
5 - 0
CAY
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 nov. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAY
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |