Análisis CD Naval vs Cayón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 1
NAV
53%
25%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1987 |
TEX
0 - 2
NAV
68%
20%
12%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 1987 |
NAV
2 - 3
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1987 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAV
45%
27%
28%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 1987 |
NAV
3 - 1
SMA
66%
21%
13%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1987 |
CAY
0 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1987 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAY
47%
27%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 1987 |
CAY
0 - 1
SMA
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 mar. 1987 |
REO
1 - 1
CAY
57%
25%
18%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1987 |
CAY
4 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |