Análisis CDS Naval vs Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2004 |
CDP
1 - 1
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
1 - 0
NTA
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2004 |
NTA
4 - 2
LOT
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2004 |
NTA
1 - 1
CDP
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2004 |
CON
2 - 2
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
LOT
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
CDP
1 - 0
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2004 |
0 - 3
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |