Análisis Naval de Talcahuano vs San Marcos Arica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
27.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.09
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47%
Probabilidad gana
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2014 |
LOT
4 - 1
NTA
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2014 |
CUR
3 - 0
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 feb. 2014 |
NTA
1 - 0
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2014 |
NTA
0 - 2
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
NTA
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2014 |
COQ
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2014 |
DCO
0 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |