Análisis Naval vs FC Marco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 2
NAV
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 2
NAV
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
NAV
5 - 0
LEX
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
UNM
2 - 2
NAV
27%
28%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
LEX
0 - 2
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 0
PED
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 1
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
SAL
3 - 0
FCM
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
FCM
0 - 1
FEL
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 1
FCM
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |