Análisis Naval vs Sourense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-29%
-58%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
NAV
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
BEN
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 0
NAV
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 5
ADM
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | -1 |
Partidos
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 0
SOU
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 ene. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
SOU
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 3
SER
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |