Análisis NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
13.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2005 |
RBC
1 - 0
NEC
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 0
RKC
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 1
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 feb. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2005 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 2005 |
AUX
3 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 feb. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUX
56%
24%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |