Análisis NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2011 |
SCH
0 - 0
NEC
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 1
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 2
NEC
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
NEC
3 - 1
WIL
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 5
ADO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRO
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 3
NAC
28%
25%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |