Análisis NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.6
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2009 |
ADO
3 - 0
NEC
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
NEC
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 1
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2009 |
HSV
1 - 0
NEC
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |