Análisis Necaxa vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 1
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2000 |
RMA
1 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 1
NEC
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2000 |
NEC
3 - 1
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 ene. 2000 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 2001 |
TOL
3 - 1
LEO
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2001 |
TOL
0 - 1
OLI
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1999 |
TOL
0 - 1
LDA
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 ago. 1998 |
DCU
1 - 0
TOL
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 1998 |
TOL
1 - 1
SAP
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |