Análisis CD Nerja Fundación vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+671%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2007 |
UBE
0 - 1
NER
15%
23%
62%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
NER
1 - 2
LIN
68%
19%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
JOD
2 - 2
NER
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
NER
1 - 2
MEN
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
CDT
0 - 1
NER
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
CDU
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 2
EST
35%
29%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
UBE
0 - 1
MAN
23%
29%
48%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 1
BAE
41%
28%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 0
MAN
32%
30%
38%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |