Análisis Nervión vs Marchena Balompié
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2004 |
PIL
2 - 2
NER
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
NER
0 - 2
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
SJO
1 - 1
NER
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2004 |
NER
6 - 1
CAM
39%
26%
36%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 dic. 2003 |
SUE
0 - 0
NER
15%
21%
65%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Marchena Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
SUE
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 0
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIS
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 dic. 2003 |
LEB
0 - 3
MAR
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |