Análisis Nervión vs Nueva Sevilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 3
NER
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
NER
1 - 0
PEN
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
TOR
3 - 2
NER
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
NER
3 - 2
JDB
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 3
NER
55%
23%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Nueva Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 4
MSQ
10%
19%
72%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
YEY
3 - 0
NUE
76%
16%
8%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 5
PUE
13%
25%
62%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 2
NUE
64%
19%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 1
BRE
25%
25%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |