Liga Gales Temporada Regular Jor. 12

Análisis Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town

Newtown Aberystwyth Town
44 ELO 49
9.2% Tilt 13.8%
1709º Ranking ELO general 3465º
10º Ranking ELO país 23º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
47.5%
Newtown
24.1%
Empate
28.3%
Aberystwyth Town

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.5%
Probabilidad gana
Newtown
1.67
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.3%
Probabilidad gana
Aberystwyth Town
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Newtown
-26%
-18%
Aberystwyth Town

Progresión del ELO

Newtown
Aberystwyth Town
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Newtown
Newtown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 oct. 2011
NEW
Newtown
4 - 2
Carmarthen Town
CAR
52%
23%
25%
44 44 0 0
09 oct. 2011
AIR
Airbus UK
3 - 2
Newtown
NEW
56%
22%
23%
45 47 2 -1
01 oct. 2011
NEW
Newtown
2 - 1
Afan Lido
LID
48%
24%
28%
44 46 2 +1
23 sep. 2011
BAN
Bangor City
4 - 0
Newtown
NEW
80%
14%
7%
44 62 18 0
17 sep. 2011
NEW
Newtown
0 - 4
Neath Athletic
NEA
25%
25%
50%
45 59 14 -1

Partidos

Aberystwyth Town
Aberystwyth Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 oct. 2011
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
1 - 1
Neath Athletic
NEA
19%
24%
57%
48 62 14 0
08 oct. 2011
LLA
Llanelli AFC
2 - 0
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
86%
10%
4%
48 67 19 0
01 oct. 2011
TNS
The New Saints
3 - 2
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
87%
10%
4%
48 67 19 0
27 sep. 2011
LID
Afan Lido
0 - 0
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
39%
26%
35%
48 46 2 0
25 sep. 2011
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
1 - 3
Prestatyn Town
PRE
37%
25%
38%
49 54 5 -1