Análisis Nice vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2017 |
DIJ
0 - 1
NIC
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 1
MPL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
NIC
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2017 |
REN
2 - 2
NIC
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASS
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 3
ANG
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAE
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
LIL
24%
29%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2017 |
DIJ
2 - 0
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |