Análisis Notch vs Transvaal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+44%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
SFC
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 0
NOT
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
NOT
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 2
VOO
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 2022 |
SNL
1 - 2
NOT
39%
23%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2022 |
TRA
4 - 4
RHO
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2022 |
IWA
1 - 2
TRA
33%
22%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2022 |
BIN
0 - 1
TRA
54%
21%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
INT
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 2022 |
PVV
5 - 0
TRA
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |