Análisis Novara vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 2
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 1
CES
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
SAS
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |