Análisis Novara vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 2
NOV
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 4
JUV
17%
26%
57%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
LAZ
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
UDI
19%
25%
56%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
CES
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
JUV
15%
25%
60%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |